Poll: Trump leads Clinton nationally in post-convention poll

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Donald Trump has taken the lead nationally in a new CNN/ORC released Monday morning.

In a head-to-head matchup, Trump leads Clinton 48% to 45%. The new poll represents a six point post-convention bump for Trump. When third-party candidates are factored in, Trump’s lead increases 44% to 39%.

There has not been a significant bounce in CNN’s poll since 2000 when Al Gore and George W. Bush both saw an 8 point post-convention bounce.

Monday’s poll shows Trump with the best chance of beating Clinton on election day since September 2015.

The Republican nominee’s edge comes from increased support among independents, 43% of whom said the the convention made them more likely to back Trump, while 41% said they would most likely not support him.

Trump’s favorability rating has risen from 39% to 46% after the convention. He now holds a double-digit margins over Clinton as more trusted on the economy and terrorism.

His personal image has improved as well with 52% saying Trump is running for president for the good of the country rather than personal gain, 44% say the same of Clinton. While Democrats have attacked the the Republican convention’s message as divisive, the percentage who say Trump will unite the country rather than divide it has increased from 34% to 42% after the convention.

Vice Presidential nominee Mike Pence’s favorability rating increased from 26% pre-convention to 39% after the convention.

Sen. Ted Cruz’s speech appears to have backfired. Before the convention 60% of Republican voters had a positive impression of the Texas senator, now 33% have one.

The CNN/ORC Poll of 1,001 adults was conducted July 22-24 and has a 3.5 percentage point margin of error.

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